"Our job—where we can'is to provide Latin America with a choice," a U.K. government minister said on Thursday.

So Trump will likely get his way in more cases than not. But he shouldn’t celebrate just yet, because the short-term payoff of strong-arming Latin America will come at the long-term cost of accelerating the region’s shift toward China and increasing its instability. The latter tends, sooner or later, to boomerang back into the United States.

The U.S. president is resurrecting tactics from his first term and promising a more aggressive approach to migrant flows. Regional leaders are responding.