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In the weeks before the 2016 Trump Electoral College victory, Donald Trump was polling between 35% and 40%. He would average only about 41% approval over his tumultuous four-year tenure.
President Donald Trump’s 2024 victory rested on support from voters who are less engaged with politics, an assessment of the election based on newly available voter file data confirms.
From Biden 2020 to Trump 2024: A tale of differential turnout and changing voter preferences While most of those who voted in 2020 cast ballots again in 2024, a larger share of Trump’s voters (89%) ...
In 2024, Trump held on to most of those who backed him in 2020: 85% of his 2020 voters voted for him again in 2024. But 3% switched to Harris and 11% dropped off – they didn’t vote at all in 2024.
A new analysis of the 2024 U.S. election by the Pew Research Center reveals that Donald Trump's path to victory was paved by a more racially and ethnically diverse voter coalition, with Latino ...
After broadening the Republican coalition, Trump is at risk of shrinking it. Trump came close to winning young voters—those under age 30—in 2024, a sharp reversal from his 25-point loss among ...
In the run-up to the 2024 election, many observers — from political scientists to think tanks, from pollsters to opinion writers — believed abortion would buoy Democrats to electoral victory.
Republicans will work to defend their fragile House majority in the 2026 midterm elections, but thanks to Trump's convincing 2024 victory, the GOP will enjoy some home-field advantage in key ...