In the wake of Justin Trudeau’s resignation, Polymarket is now forecasting a staggering 92% probability that Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre will succeed him as Canada’s next Prime Minister. This surge in odds comes after Trudeau stepped down from his post following intense scrutiny of his leadership and the Liberal Party.

Polymarket bettors predict Justin Trudeau's resignation by January 10 with 82% probability, amid declining approval ratings and Conservative surge in Canadian politics.

Duelling scoops from two of Canada's largest newspapers put Trudeau's departure as early as Monday, but Polymarket bettors aren't so sure it'll come that early.